{"id":600460,"date":"2023-07-18T15:10:31","date_gmt":"2023-07-18T13:10:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/slf.se\/dlf\/?page_id=600460"},"modified":"2026-06-05T11:27:40","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T09:27:40","slug":"ostergotland-en-modell-for-berakningsgrund-for-prognos-av-distriktslakare-i-ostergotland","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/slf.se\/dlf\/om-oss\/lokalavdelningar\/ostergotland\/vart-arbete-ostergotland\/ostergotland-en-modell-for-berakningsgrund-for-prognos-av-distriktslakare-i-ostergotland\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6sterg\u00f6tland; en modell f\u00f6r ber\u00e4kningsgrund f\u00f6r prognos av distriktsl\u00e4kare i \u00d6sterg\u00f6tland"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

En modell som kan anv\u00e4ndas f\u00f6r inspiration. I princip skulle ni kunna mata in era egna siffror.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

DLF \u00d6sterg\u00f6tland har ju gjort en egen inventering av icke-klinisk tid vilket arbetsgivaren k\u00f6pt rakt av. Den kanske n\u00e5gorlunda speglar er verklighet? Eftersom v\u00e5r icksekliniska tid \u00f6kat med anledningen av nyligen taget beslut g\u00e4llande resa p\u00e5 arbetstid till glesbygdsVC \u00e4r siffran hos oss nu lite l\u00e5g. Men den duger f\u00f6r detta \u00e4ndam\u00e5l och vi f\u00e5r kanske g\u00f6ra en ny inventering l\u00e4ngre fram<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi utg\u00e5r i modellen fr\u00e5n att de ST-l\u00e4kare vi redan har i systemet, 145stycken, ligger j\u00e4mnt f\u00f6rdelade \u00f6ver de 6 utbildnings\u00e5ren de har i snitt.
Sedan anv\u00e4nder vi en cyklisk modell under 12 \u00e5r d\u00e5 vi kommit fram till att det b\u00e4st beskriver situationen eftersom vi kommer ut\u00f6ka relativt kraftigt de n\u00e4rmaste \u00e5ren. D\u00e5 kan vi ocks\u00e5 se effekterna av det mer tydligt \u00e5r 6-12.
D\u00e4refter \u00e5terg\u00e5r vi till en modell d\u00e4r den nya niv\u00e5n antal ST vi kommit upp till ligger j\u00e4mnt f\u00f6rdelade \u00e5nyo i systemet. Detta \u00e4r en modell jag\/vi landat i ger den prognos som ligger n\u00e4rmast sanningen utan att bli f\u00f6r komplicerad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det blir v\u00e4ldigt intressant att g\u00e5 in och justera siffrorna. Hur p\u00e5verkas prognosen om vi lyckas halvera den externa personalr\u00f6rligheten? Om fler ST tar anst\u00e4llning efter avslutad utbildning? Om vi i snitt g\u00e5r upp fr\u00e5n 80-90 procent i arbetsgrad? Hur m\u00e5nga ST skulle beh\u00f6vas om inga andra \u00e5tg\u00e4rder g\u00f6rs?<\/p>\n\n\n

\n \n \n \n

\n \u00d6sterg\u00f6tland; en modell f\u00f6r ber\u00e4kningsgrund f\u00f6r prognos av distriktsl\u00e4kare i \u00d6sterg\u00f6tland\n <\/h2>\n \n \n <\/div>\n <\/div><\/a>\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

En modell som kan anv\u00e4ndas f\u00f6r inspiration. I princip skulle ni kunna mata in era egna siffror. DLF \u00d6sterg\u00f6tland har ju gjort en egen inventering av icke-klinisk tid vilket arbetsgivaren k\u00f6pt rakt av. Den kanske n\u00e5gorlunda speglar er verklighet? Eftersom v\u00e5r icksekliniska tid \u00f6kat med anledningen av nyligen taget beslut g\u00e4llande resa p\u00e5 arbetstid till glesbygdsVC … L\u00e4s hela<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1915,"featured_media":0,"parent":602070,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-600460","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSvenska Distriktsl\u00e4karf\u00f6reningen (DLF)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/slf.se\/dlf\/om-oss\/lokalavdelningar\/ostergotland\/vart-arbete-ostergotland\/ostergotland-en-modell-for-berakningsgrund-for-prognos-av-distriktslakare-i-ostergotland\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00d6sterg\u00f6tland; 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